Vancouver residential street at dusk with warm lights glowing from a modern multiplex home, mountains and moody sky in background
Thought Leadership Featured

The World Is on Fire. Why Are People Still Building?

7 min read

Global chaos isn't freezing homeowners--it's accelerating their decisions. Past a threshold, permanent uncertainty stops causing paralysis and starts driving action. Here's what I'm seeing on the ground.

Key takeaway

Personal essay exploring why global instability is accelerating, not freezing, multiplex development decisions in Metro Vancouver.

A threshold effect: when uncertainty becomes permanent, people stop waiting and start building. Multi-generational housing demand driven by psychology (pulling family closer, creating stability you control) more than economics. Immigrant communities who experienced wealth confiscation understand real property durability. 518 multiplex applications filed in Vancouver as of January 2026, $300M in multiplex land transactions in 2024.

What this covers

  • uncertainty threshold effect
  • multi-generational housing psychology
  • immigrant community housing instinct
  • building during global instability
  • multiplex as legacy asset
  • Vancouver housing decisions 2026
uncertainty multi-generational-housing psychology immigrant-communities Vancouver multiplex-decision

I spoke with someone yesterday whose parents and siblings are still in Iran.

No contact for four days.

He sat across from me, told me about it quietly, and then—almost apologetically—pivoted back to the conversation we were having about his property. His lot. His plans. His family’s future here.

I’ve been thinking about that moment ever since.

The question nobody is asking about housing

Every analyst I read is watching interest rates. Bond yields. Municipal permit timelines. Construction costs per square foot.

Nobody is asking the question that actually determines whether people act or freeze:

What does global chaos do to the ordinary person’s willingness to make a long-term bet on their own future?

Because right now, the backdrop is relentless. Wars that don’t end. Economies lurching. Political systems that feel less stable than they did five years ago. A news cycle that has trained all of us to expect the next shock before the last one has settled.

The conventional answer—the one economists model—is that uncertainty makes people retreat. Hold cash. Wait for clarity. Don’t commit to a 30-year mortgage when the world feels like it’s on a 30-day cycle.

But I’m not sure that’s what I’m actually seeing on the ground.

What uncertainty actually does to people

There’s a threshold effect that nobody talks about.

Up to a point, uncertainty causes paralysis. People freeze. They wait. They tell themselves they’ll move when things “calm down.”

But past a certain threshold—when the uncertainty becomes the permanent condition rather than a temporary interruption—something different happens.

People stop waiting for calm. They start building anyway.

Not because the fear goes away. It doesn’t. The man I spoke with yesterday was genuinely scared for his family. That fear was real and present and sitting right there in the room with us.

But humans are not wired to stay frozen indefinitely. We are wired to create stability where we can find it, even when the wider world refuses to cooperate.

And in BC, in 2026, the place people are increasingly choosing to create that stability is in land. In property. In housing that can hold a family across generations.

The multi-generational instinct

I think the surge of interest in multi-generational housing—the six-plex where parents take one unit, adult kids take another, and the rental income covers the mortgage—is not primarily a financial decision.

It’s a psychological one.

When the world outside feels unstable, the instinct is to pull the people you love closer. To stop depending on systems you can’t control—a rental market, a landlord’s goodwill, a market cycle—and build something you actually own.

A multi-generational home is not just a real estate strategy. It’s a declaration: we are going to be okay, because we built something together that no market correction can take away.

The Iranian community in Metro Vancouver, to be specific, understands this at a cellular level. Many came from a place where wealth could disappear overnight—confiscated, devalued, left behind at the border. What you carry in your mind and your relationships, and what you build in bricks and mortar, is what survives.

That instinct is not irrational. It’s ancient. And it’s driving more conversations about multiplexes and multi-gen builds than any government incentive program ever has.

CMHC reported multi-generational households in Canada have risen 45% since 2001. In Metro Vancouver, where a detached home averages $2.0-3.5M and a multiplex unit runs $1.0-1.7M, the economics reinforce what the psychology already demands. Three generations under one roof—or at least one address—isn’t a compromise. For many families, it’s the plan.

Are we getting numb? Or are we getting clearer?

I don’t think we’re getting numb to the chaos.

I think we’re getting clearer about what we can and cannot control.

You cannot control whether a conflict escalates on the other side of the world. You cannot control what central banks decide next quarter. You cannot control the news cycle or the political moment or the thousand things that could go wrong between now and two years from now.

You can control whether you do something today with the asset sitting under your feet.

The people I see making decisions right now—starting the multiplex process, putting together a JV, running the numbers on a multi-gen build—are not the people who are ignoring uncertainty.

They are the people who have made peace with it.

They’ve decided that waiting for a stable world is a strategy that will never pay off. That the only moment they actually have is this one. And that the best hedge against an unpredictable future is not cash under the mattress—it’s a well-structured, well-located, income-generating piece of real estate that keeps producing regardless of what happens to interest rates or governments or headlines.

Vancouver’s 497 multiplex applications filed as of January 2026 tell that story. So do the $300M in multiplex-focused land transactions in 2024. The investment overview explains the return dynamics that are driving this activity. People aren’t waiting. Some of the busiest months for VanPlex inquiries have been the months with the worst headlines.

Get up the next day

My contact with family in Iran will check his phone again this morning. He’ll feel the knot in his stomach.

And then he’ll get up and go about his life. Because that’s what people do.

That’s not denial. That’s not numbness. That’s the stubborn, quiet, deeply human refusal to let the worst possibilities crowd out the life still available to be lived.

Building a multiplex in Vancouver. Creating a home that holds multiple generations. Turning a single-family lot into a legacy asset. These are not escapes from uncertainty.

They are answers to it.


If this resonated—especially if you’ve been sitting on a decision, waiting for the moment to feel “right”—I’d genuinely like to hear where you’re at. What’s the world situation doing to your thinking about property? Are you holding still or moving forward?

Check where your property stands at VanPlex.ca using the advanced proforma calculator. It takes two minutes. The SSMUH overview answers the zoning questions most homeowners have before they start.

David Babakaiff | Co-Founder & CEO, VanPlex Technologies

Frequently asked questions

Does global uncertainty make people less likely to build a multiplex?

The post argues the opposite happens past a certain point. Uncertainty causes paralysis at first, with people waiting for things to calm down, but once uncertainty becomes a permanent condition rather than a temporary interruption, people stop waiting and start building. The author points to Vancouver's 497 multiplex applications filed as of January 2026 and $300 million in multiplex-focused land transactions in 2024 as evidence that activity kept moving through an unstable period.

Why are multi-generational housing decisions described as psychological rather than purely financial?

The post frames the surge of interest in multi-generational housing, where parents take one unit, adult children take another, and rental income covers the mortgage, as driven by a desire to pull family closer and stop depending on systems outside one's control, such as a rental market or a landlord's decisions. It calls a multi-generational home a declaration that a family built something together that no market correction can take away, rather than only a financial strategy.

How much have multi-generational households grown in Canada since 2001?

The post cites a CMHC report that multi-generational households in Canada have risen 45 percent since 2001. It connects this trend to Metro Vancouver's housing costs, where a detached home averages $2.0 million to $3.5 million and a multiplex unit runs $1.0 million to $1.7 million, arguing the economics reinforce a psychological pull toward multiple generations sharing one address.

Why do immigrant communities in Metro Vancouver show strong interest in multiplex development?

The post describes the Iranian community in Metro Vancouver as understanding, from lived experience, that wealth held in other forms can disappear overnight through confiscation, devaluation, or being left behind at a border. It argues this history makes owning land and building housing that holds a family across generations feel like a durable form of security that a person actually controls, compared to assets or arrangements that depend on external systems.

What evidence does the post give that Vancouver multiplex activity continued despite bad news cycles?

The post states that some of the busiest months for VanPlex inquiries have been the months with the worst headlines, and cites 497 multiplex applications filed in Vancouver as of January 2026 alongside $300 million in multiplex-focused land transactions in 2024 as the market-level evidence behind that observation.

What is the 'threshold effect' the author describes in relation to uncertainty?

The threshold effect describes two different responses to uncertainty depending on how long it lasts. Up to a point, uncertainty causes people to freeze, hold cash, and wait for clarity. Past a certain threshold, when the uncertainty becomes a permanent condition instead of a temporary interruption, people stop waiting for calm and start building anyway, even though the underlying fear has not gone away.

What does the post say a person can and cannot control when deciding whether to develop property?

The post lists what a person cannot control: whether a conflict escalates elsewhere in the world, what central banks decide next quarter, or the news cycle and political moment. What a person can control, it argues, is whether they act today on the asset already sitting under their feet, such as a multiplex-eligible lot, rather than waiting indefinitely for global conditions to stabilize first.

Is building a multiplex framed in this post as a way to escape from uncertainty?

No. The post explicitly states that building a multiplex, creating a home that holds multiple generations, and turning a single-family lot into a legacy asset are not escapes from uncertainty. It frames these actions as answers to uncertainty instead, a way of creating stability that a family actually owns and controls rather than avoiding the underlying instability in the world.

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David Babakaiff

David Babakaiff

Co-Founder, VanPlex | 25+ Years BC Construction

David Babakaiff is Co-Founder of VanPlex with 25+ years scaling BC construction. He led Alair Homes Vancouver to the 2024 HAVAN Award for Best Multiplex Unit in the GVRD. VanPlex’s PlexRank™ algorithm scores residential parcels across BC for multiplex conversion potential under Bill 44.

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